Saturday, January 14, 2012

Natural Gas medium term Update -- Supports & Resistance

Natural gas Started the Last leg of Major downfall From 4.954 in month of may Falling more than 45 % currenty trading at 2.71 $ , the Complete Downfall Looks like a clear 5 wave structure where at this point of time we  are in v of 5 of C ,
The possible pattern targets where Natrual gas Could find support is Currently at 2.55 $ (wave 5 = 1.618% of wave 1) , The Complete downfall is in a Clear Downward Channel Which has important channel support at 2.62--2.65 $ zone  $
Hence This Current Zone of 2.55$ --- 2.67$ Zone is Very important Support Zone for Longterm ,                 On daily charts the RSI 14 is currently at 29 Which is almost approaching the oversold Zone. at This point of time we Dont have any reversal pattern visible which May indicate that the prices have bottomed out , but it Clearly is not a Place to go Shorts for medium term Unless these Supports are broken , If broken we May head to immediate Next support at 2.38
Looking at the Long term weekly charts We may be in Process of Making a B wave Low and a High probability of Major reversal From current Levels For Next 6--9 Months cant be rulled out

But before taking Any Longs one has to wait For Confirmation of Price reversal as price is King and Once confirmed the Upside Projected targets would be 3.65--4.25 Immediately and Much Higher If this Levels are taken out again

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