Gold & Silver Charts , Gold Could be near a short term top

Gold Makes a Run away , Exhausation gap at open today and manges to Cross the Longterm weekly Resistance of 1684 which was very Crucial level For bears , Expecting  high Volatility in Intraday Now coz of short Covering Which can take prices up will 1707--1716 , which Co-incides with wave Levels of 5=1 . A Failure to close abv 1716 Could be indiaction of Medium term top in Close and Push Prices DOwn till 1525 which would be 23.6 % retracement of Complete Move of decade , if we C the Prices pushing Higher abt 1716 could be a extended 5th which can go higher till 1781 than

Silver : Explanation on Charts

#Silver medium term view

Looking at silver weekly charts for past decade the rally which started from almost 3.50 $ to current price of 38.5$,it clearly looks likes near end of extended massive bull run of 5 waves and now could get into corrective phase (wave 2 a-b-c ) for next few months. Any new high on silver would be a good sell opportunity or a break of 36 dollar would confirm a medium term top and we could look at short term downside targets of 32.5 $ and 27 $

Snapshot :

#silver break of 36$ could confirm a medium term top & correct down till 32.5$ and than 27$ , $slv , Good sell on rise #askchirag any new highs or rallies good setup to create shorts

#copper , #gold , #silver Trading Levels For short term

Copper (MCX) Looks Strong -- till time prices holding the Key Level of 430 --- One Can expect An Further upside till 442--445--449  , Downside Below 430 Support at 426.5 ---410

Gold  & silver Faceing Resistance near Previous week's high on Comex , a Sustained trade Above Same Can Push prices Further up on Gold till 1447$ --1465 $--1489 $ and on Silver 36.5 $---37.2 $--38.4$
On downside Important Support on Gold now at 1415 $ & silver 35.2 $

#gold short term view

Gold prices Re-tested the Neckline Resistance of breakdown From multiple tops made Near 1422 Levels Zone previous Week,Which also Looks like a Complex Head & shoulder pattern. The Neckline as if now is poised near Same levels as of 100 DMA currently at 1368$ . Which is proving to be strong Resistance .

On the downside the 55 DMA at 1332 $ is also Proving a Strong Support below that important Support comes at 1305 Levels which also co-incised with the Short term Bottom and Medium term  channel Trend line .

till time Prices are trading below 100 DMA and Key neckline Resistance . We Look downwards on gold Prices to test previous bottom and Final Reach the Patterns target at 1240 $ . Stops Could be well placed above 1384 $ closing basis . A Close above Same Would Invalid the view .

Gold Silver Update

Unlike Gold, Silver seems to be completing a final v subminor up. This seems to be a completion of the leg up from Nov 2009. And considering the large exponential blow off that we illustrated prior and Silver topping the Jiseki rankings we continue to look at any leg up on Silver now as the last leg after which the white metal should fall back into 22.40 previous iv wave supports. Gold also seem to be in the final Y minor leg up and should follow silver down.

Done in association with orpheous Asia Intraday Service (Ticks Global)

Crude Short term view

Crude has formed a Hanging Man - Doji at top end of end of channel which is a whiplash near the top end of channel Resistance . Indicating that a Short Term top May be in place. Failure to Close abv 87 in next day or two Could drag it down to sub 82 lvls . The RSI has also Started pointing downwards again after Hitting the Overbought Zone

Reco : Short on Rise With SL above 87.3 with downsid etargets of 83.5 & 82


( Click on Read Rest of entry & click on Graph to have Larger view of Charts )

Natural gas Short term view

Euro- technical view

Euro On 4 hours Charts has formed Strong Doji near the Resistance Zone indicating Trend Reversal possible , Could again Fall back to1. 3500 lvls In turn pulling Down , Precious Metals & basemeatls along with it -- Fresh Longs only to be taken in if Euro manges to Cross 1.3800

Attached EURO CHART

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Gold Possible Inverted head & shoulders

Gold possible IHS on daily comex charts -- Neckline placed at 1137 $ , Close and Sustained Trading abv Same can open upside trgt till 1160--1174 in short term , Failure to Cross Same could Lead to Retest on downside again till 1110 $

Gold Short term 1125--1132 Strong Resistance to Cross

Gold Strong Resistance near 1125--1132 Zone in Near Term,

Looking at the Daily Charts of Gold in Medium term It has been moving in a Sideways downward biased Channel , the top end of the Channel is now near the 1123--1125 Zone Which will be A Strong Resistance to Cross ( Marked with PINK Lines on the Chart)

and in the Short term it has been Moving in a triangle (marked with orange Lines) So break above 1126 Zone Would Face Resistance at 1132 Where the upward Rising trend line of triangle is based. Which indicates that Fresh longs Should be taken if the Daily Close Manages to Close above 1132 levels for upside target of 1163--1174 targets , On Downside break of 1102 Will again indicate that the trend is Reversing again to Retest the Downward end of channel with Breakdown from the triangle opening Downside target till 1088--1065 $ -1044$ - 1005 $ , which Would possibly Mean the end of Short Term Zigzag Correction

The Leading indicators on Daily & 4 hours Charts have shown a Cross Over on the Downside from overbought Zones, Indicating some Shorts Are Being Created near Current levels




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silver

Silver has been moving in a Expanding triangle and wave count shows a Possible Start of third Wave with EURO also Supporting as far 15.65 Holds on closing Basis one can Expect an upside target of 17.55 lvls

Euro Short term view

Euro Does Double Bottom on Daily Charts , with the Second candle as Hammer and Some Follow up buying Coming up , The Following day - This Indicates that a Short Term bottom is in place and Some Retracement till 1.4000 lvls Cant be Rulled out , Look to Buy on Dips till 1.3400 is Held

An upmove in Euro Could Lead to Rise in PM metals Also Opeing an upside trgt of Gold till 1160 & slvr 16.8--17.35 Zone

Silver Comex

Possible Wave Count on Silver

As Far 15.65 is Held on Downside One can play longs For Trgt of 16.05--16.2

Daily Technical view 040909

Comex Gold-GC : Reversed few Dollars just away from the psychological Level of 1000$, after making a Intraday High of 997$. A Strong up move has been Seen From 940$to 997$ , Expecting it face string Resistance in zone of 1004$ to 1008$ Range, Could Consolidate again a bit before Making new highsConsolidation Range : 974$-997$Trend Reversal Level: Close Below 963$Next target : 1004$

MCX gold : Gold prices Move dup sharply from sub 15000 Levels to 15800 Levels in weeks time , Some amazing strength. The Immediate Resistance Comes now near to 15916 & 16029 , Looking for it to be tested and could Consolidate also a bit before Same . Before Making Fresh moves Consolidation Range : 15500-15800 RangeNext target 16400

Comex Silver : tested the resistance of 16.22$ which was May Months high and again failed Same to close below 16.00$ , Would find Supports now at 15.65$ & 15.84 $ and Consolidate bit before making fresh Up moves for Possible target of 16.36-16.84Consolidation Range : 15.84-16.22 Next target : 16.36

MCX silver : Silver Prices managed to Surpass the Important resistance at 25650 and moved up sharply to make new high around 26250 Levels , Expecting it to consolidate a bit before any further fresh Moves , Supports now at 26101-25840Consolidation Range : 25760-26340Next target 27800 ( if closes above 26500)

Nymex Crude oil : Trading in indecisive to downwards bias Since past two days but managing to Close above 67.50$ , a Close Below same would Open downward targets till 64 $ and Move Past 70 $ again would open the possibilities of re test of recent high of 72.5$ & 73.46 $trend : sideways to Range bound

MCX crude oil : Managing to close above the crucial level of 3320 Since past few days after the sharp fall from 3510 , Need to wait and watch this is consolidation or halt before the next move starts or a Possible base building for a bounce again , weak below 3300 & intraday Bias turns Positive above 3400

Natural Gas Nymex : took Support Just above the first targets of 2.4$ as mentioned Earlier and closed sharply negative, would play in this small range now before Further making new Lows, on downside Strong Support at 2.41 & 2.355 $ close below Same could Open targets for physiological Levels of 2$

MCX natural gas : After the sharp Downfall intraday halted just above the Crucial Support level of 121, Would Play in small Range near this Zone 121-138, before Making fresh move. A close below 121 could open Downside Possible targets of 95

Base Metals MCX :
Copper is consolidating in Small Range of 298--313 Rupees , A Break On any side would indicate Further move

Lead strongest of all managed to cross above 110 opening upside possible targets of 114 & 120 in short term Reversal in trend if closes below 104

Nickel is looking weak with supports coming in at 882 & 866 Zone , a Close above 908 Would open upside target of 935 again on downside below 866-840

Zinc : zinc as been mangling to Stay above the important Support of 90 but not giving any fresh upside up move . A Move past 92.65 could open upside targets of 95- 98

Technical view 260809

Comex gold : Comex gold has been trading still in the triangle in medium term which is range of 926 & 972 $ , a Breach on any Side Would signal the next possible trend. In the short term its been Hovering in Small range of 935 $ & 960$ , Suggest good Consolidation a Decisive break on Any side with good volumes will lead to further trend which can be there For next 3-4 weeks

MCX gold : Gold Has been lot whipsaws Recently trading in larger channel of 14800 & 15025 , and on intraday Basis Breaching Both the levels in currently week, but managing to Close again inside the range same Day , A clear close outside range of 14800 on downside would open targets till 14450 & on upside a close above 15065 Would Open target of 15350
Trend Analysis : Sideways Range boundGold : 14940-14970-15010-15035-15070 Trend (Range bound sideways)

Comex Silver : Comex Silver Re-tested the medium term Resistance in Zone of 14.45$ & 14.55$ , a Breakout above same would Mean the start of fresh new up trend After consolidation opening upside target of 14.86--15.05 Shorts Can be taken for Short term with Closing Sl at 14.55 , with Again downside targets of 14.02--13.85 levels

MCX silver : Silver Will Face stiff resistance in the zone of 23500-23550 , a breakout above same with good volumes can open upside target of 23800-23940. Avoid Fresh long unless 23550 is taken off with volumes. on the downside supports are Seen at 23289-23210-23040
Trend analysis Silver: 23525 Important resistance Above that 23685, Support 23289-23210-23040 (buy only if sustains above 23525)

Crude oil Nymex : Crude corrected sharply From higher levels of 74.86 $ to close below 72$ , the intermediate support is seen at 70.45$ where traders can again look to buy with SL below 69.55 , On upside will face Resistance at 72.45$ & 73.80$ again
Trend Analysis : Buy on Dips till 69$ is held on closing basis

MCX crude : Crude oil will Find Support in range of 3432 levels Which is important Support level , below Which trend will reverse on upside Resistance is Seen at 3565 & 3600 , A firm Close above 3630 Will open upward targets of 3780Trend Analysis : Buy on Dips till 3420 is held on closing basis

Natural gas Nymex : Natural gas after bouncing of little From the oversold region is trading in a Bullish flag more on Sideways near the zone of 3.20 $ , a Move 3.385 Would open upside target of 3.68$ . on downside supports at 3.01 & 2.80 are Seen , Re-test Of recent lows Cant be ruled Out. On upside Strong resistance is seen at 3.530 & 3.65 levels is seen

MCX natural gas : Natural gas Price Bounced of from recent lows of 155, the oversold zone to test the first resistance at 165 , And Retracted back to consolidate again in range of 159 & 162 , on upside Breach of 165 would open targets till 172--174, On downside supports seen at 155-158

Base metals Levels :
Nickel : 927--931-938-946-954-968
copper 311.35-309.3-308.5-306.5
Lead :100.2-99.5-98.65-98
Zinc : 90-89.4-88.6-8T

Technical view 210809

MCX Gold: Gold Prices have Been Range Bound to Downwards for the week heading from upper end of the resistance Channel at 15010 Levels to Lower Support End at 14825 levels
The prices more or less Seems to Trade in Very Small Range mainly effected by the Currency Movement.
Trend Analysis: Range Bound - Sideways


Comex Gold: Trading in sub due Range of 940$, Comex gold has Been In very Small range of 15$ for complete week as if now. As Indicated before Finding Resistance at crucial resistance zone of 948$ and supports on down side Range of 932$ below which Next Support is at 925$
Trend Analysis: Range Bound - Sideways

MCX Silver: Silver prices Edged Lower for the week and took Support at medium term Support zone of 22500 and Bounced back from there to trade in median Range of 22700-22900 Levels
Strategy Still Remains of buys on dips Side to trade Silver So far as 22500 Medium term Support is held on closing basis. Positive Divergence is seen on indicators Which Suggest a Sharp pull back due to Short covering or Fresh buying near Supports Cant be Ruled Out
Trend Analysis: buy on Dips


Comex Silver: Silver prices dropped below the crucial level of 14.17$ to immediately test the second short term Support at 13.54$, and Re bounced back to test the psychological level of 14$ again. 13.54--13.20$ is good Support zone with multiple supports in range, Fresh buying Can be initiated for medium target of 15 $ again.
Trend Analysis: Buy on dips With SL below 13.20$ closing basis

MCX Crude oil: Crude oil Prices gave a fresh breakout to move higher towards the 3620 mark, the previous Resistance at 3475-3510 Will now act as a good Support on medium term, A retest of the Following level cant be ruled out and fresh Long positions can be created near these levels For new Highs, trend reversal only if manages to close below 3425
Trend Analysis: Bullish

NYMEX crude oil (Sep contract) : Crude oil Prices Moved Higher to Make a new high of 74$ finally breaking out the crucial Resistance zone of 73.46$ ,on upside open chances for re test of possible targets of 75$ & 76.5 $ on short term, supports will come in at 72$ & 70.17 $
Trend analysis: Bullish

MCX Copper : Copper prices have been finding Support Near 292 Zone and on upside Resistance at 301 Level and been trading the same Range For last few days, Fresh Shorts Can be initiated Only if manages to Close below 289.5 Levels for further downside targets of 274.till keep trading in the range
Trend Analysis: Sideways to Down

Comex Copper : Copper Prices have been getting good Support in the range of 271$ , managed to test Same many time in intraday But failed to Close below Indicating strength and Fresh buying coming in the same level. Shorts may be Created only on breach these Levels On closing basis. On upside Resistance at 281$ & 285 $

Technical view 140809

MCX Gold : Gold traded sideways with little gains as indicated yersterday , we Still hold same view till time its trading below 15050 , it remains Same Sell on sell rise, Immediate Reistance to gold is Seen at 14980 & 15050 . A Closing above Same Would reverse the trend
Trend Analysis : Range bound ^ Sideways

Comex Gold : Currently trading Near crucial level of 955 $ , abv 962 Would make intraday bias as neutral and above 972 $ would change The trend to Postive. till than Sell on Rise For Possible lower targets of 920 $
Trend Analysis : Range bound

MCX Silver : Silver moved up above the crucial Resistance of 23980, a Breach below Same Would Indicate that bias has turned netural for the Day and shorts Can be attempted For Downside targets of 23300
Trend Analysis : Neutral to bearish

Comex silver : Silver Crossed crucial reistance of 1500 , but is findind it diffuclt to move the past the next intermediate resitance of 1532, a Breach below 1488 would again open Downside targets til l1430
Trend Analysis : neutral to bearish

Energies
MCX Crudeoil : Last Day For teh August Contract Expecting volatility and range bound trade between 3368--3442 on upside


NYMEX Crudeoil : Crude Re tested the Recent Resistance of 7346and failled to Cross again , and Falling down to 7200 levels, Making it a Case of triple top If closes Below 69.45$. Supports seen at 7225--7185--7046. A Close 7346 Would open trgts til 7680 7990
Trend Analysis : Sideways to upside

MCX Natural gas : As Indiacted yesterday that trend is down adn could further see Selling pressure if breaks 168, NG closed below the crucial Support of 168 opening downside trgts till 154. A retest of Resiatnce at 168 Cant Be rulled out
Trend analysis : Downward

Natural Gas : NG has been Trading inside a parallel Range Since last few Days , Break on any Side Could give a Fresh Move on any side , On upside 4.200 is very Importnat Reistance a Close above Same would Mean that the trend has Reversed and Now its Buy on Dips opening as upside trgt of 5.40$ and 7$ For Medium term As If Now . On Downisde Supports are near 3.882$--3.460--3.165$ , A close below 3.165 % would Mean that the correction is still on and Could try hit the new Possible Downside trgt of 2.41$


Base Metals

Commdity S1 S2 R1 R2 Pivot
Copper 306 304 310 313 306
Nickel 992 998 1014 1028 1007
LEad 90 90.1 91.85 92.4 91.85
Zinc 90.25 90.8 91.65 92 91.25

Technical View 130809

MCX Gold : Gold traded on upside with Least gains among all commodity , the view Still remains Same Sell on sell rise, Immediate Reistance to gold is Seen at 14980 & 15050 . A Closing above Same Would reverse the trend
Trend Analysis : Range bound

Comex Gold : Currently trading Near crucial level of 955 $ , abv 962 Would make intraday bias as neutral and above 972 $ would change The trend to Postive. till than Sell on Rise For Possible lower targets of 920 $
Trend Analysis : Range bound

MCX Silver : Silver moved up above the crucial Resistance of 23092 as given in Yesterday post and achived next target of 23400, Above 23550 Would open upside targets of 23800 & 24150
Trend Analysis : Bullish

Comex silver : Silver Crossed crucial reistance of 1500 and is headed for next Possible target of 1560 with intermediate resistance Seen at 1523. Trend Reversal seen if manges to close below 1460
Trend Analysis : Bullish

Energies
MCX Crudeoil : Crudeoil is trading above the crucial Resistance of 3432 , A close abv same would open upside Possible targets of 3510-3555
Trend Analysis : Range Bound

NYMEX Crudeoil : above 7145 Crude oil could try test the Nest resistance level of 72.6. Multiple Resistance is Seen between 72.6 & 73.40 . A Close above Same would mean opening Next possibel upside target of 75.60--78.3
Range 72.05 $ --69.00 $ ( Break of any side Fresh Move Expected)
Trend Analysis : Range Bound

MCX Natural gas : Strong Support near 168 below Which Can open trgts as low as 152 .
On the upside has Strong Resistance at 178—181-188 Levls . till time trading below 178 trend is Downwards with risk of 168 to be broken anytime . Above 178 trend neutral and Above 192 Trend Bullish
Trend analysis : Near Supports/ Downward

Natural Gas : NG has been Trading inside a parallel Range Since last few Days , Break on any Side Could give a Fresh Move on any side , On upside 4.200 is very Importnat Reistance a Close above Same would Mean that the trend has Reversed and Now its Buy on Dips opening as upside trgt of 5.40$ and 7$ For Medium term As If Now . On Downisde Supports are near 3.882$--3.460--3.165$ , A close below 3.165 % would Mean that the correction is still on and Could try hit the new Possible Downside trgt of 2.41$

Base metals levels

CommdityS1 S2 R1 R2 Pivot
Copper 304 299.5 304.7 309 302.8
Nickel 912 927.5 976 1024 963
Lead 89.2 89.75 91.1 92.5 90
zinc 88.30 90.05 91.65 92.85 90.35

Technical view 120809

MCX Gold October
Gold Resistance at 14850—14925 levels One Can Use this Levels to Create Fresh Shorts With SL around 15050 lvls For Possible trgts of 14500 Lvls
Trend : Sideways to Down . Reversal Level 15050 Closing basis

Comex Gold : Gold trading below the crucial Support of 955$ . Resistance at 962$ -965 $
Sell On Rise Recommend with SL closing basis 972 $. On Downside will Re test 920$ -904$ support

MCX silver October:
Silver Finding Support near 22800 levels, below which Can Retest 22500 & 22300 levels
On upside has Important Reistance at 23092 Above which can again do 23250—23400
Trend analysis – Up/sideways

Comex Silver :
Silver has good Support Near 14.02 $ , on upside Faces resistance near 14.47$ & 14.61 $
A Firm close For two-three Trading Sessiaon abv 14.68$ can open upside target of 15.35$
Trend Analysis – up/sideways

Energies
MCX Crude Oil : MCX crude Oil till time trading below 3430 is sell on Rise with Immediate Supports coming on Downside at 3353 & 3318 Levels , On Upside 3452—3470—3510 are important resistance Levels
Nymex Crude : Trading below the Crucial Level of 71.45 $ opens a re test of 67$ on downside . On upside Important Resistance at 71.45$--72.05$--73.5$ .
Trend analysis : Sideways/downward
Range 72.05 $ --69.00 $ ( Break of any side Fresh Move Expected)

Natural Gas : NG has been Trading inside a parallel Range Since last few Days , Break on any Side Could give a Fresh Move on any side , On upside 4.200 is very Importnat Reistance a Close above Same would Mean that the trend has Reversed and Now its Buy on Dips opening as upside trgt of 5.40$ and 7$ For Medium term As If Now . On Downisde Supports are near 3.882$--3.460--3.165$ , A close below 3.165 % would Mean that the correction is still on and Could try hit the new Possible Downside trgt of 2.41$


Natural Gas MCX : Strong Support near 168 below Which Can open trgts as low as 152 .
On the upside has Strong Resistance at 178—181-188 Levls . till time trading below 178 trend is Downwards with risk of 168 to be broken anytime . Above 178 trend neutral and Above 192 Trend Bullish
Trend analysis : Near Supports/ Downward

Base metals levels



Commdity S1 S2 R1 R2 Pivot
Copper 288.5 290.1 292.5 294.8 291.65
Nickel 916 932 948 966 927.5
Lead 84.8 85.4 86.05 86.5 85.65
zinc 85.4 86.05 86.6 87.4 86.2